Background
The authors note that "throughout the Holocene, northern
peatlands have both accumulated carbon and emitted methane," so that "their
impact on climate radiative forcing has been the net of cooling (persistent
CO2 uptake) and warming (persistent CH4
emission)."
What was done
Frolking and Roulet analyzed this situation by
developing Holocene peatland carbon flux trajectories based on estimates of
contemporary CH4 flux, total accumulated peat C, and
peatland initiation dates, which they used as inputs to a simple atmospheric
perturbation model to calculate the net radiative impetus for surface air
temperature change.
What was learned
The two researchers calculated that "the impact on
the current atmosphere of northern peatland development and carbon cycling
through the Holocene is a net deficit of 40-80 Pg CO2-C
(~20-40 ppm [of atmospheric CO2]) and a net excess of
~200-400 Tg CH4 (~75-150 ppb [of atmospheric CH4])."
What it means
Early in the Holocene, according to Frolking and
Roulet, the capture of CO2 and emission of CH4 by earth's northern peatlands is likely to have produced a net
warming impetus of up to +0.1 W m-2. Over the
following eight to eleven thousand years, however, they say earth's peatlands
have been doing just the opposite, and that the current radiative forcing due to
these atmospheric CO2 and CH4
perturbations represents a net cooling force on the order of -0.22 to
-0.56 W m-2. Hence, it can be appreciated that
the impetus for global cooling due to carbon sequestration by earth's peatlands
historically has been - and currently is - significantly greater than the global
warming potential produced by their emissions of methane.